Thursday, January 11, 2024

Australian Open: Seedings and Tournament Winners

Between 1990 and 2023, using data from Jeff Sackmann's site, the top seed has won the tournament 15 times out of 34 (44%). The second seed has won 7/34 (20.5%), so less than half the top seed winning percentage. After that, it really drops off: 2/34 for the third seed, 3/34 for the fourth seed. The highest seed to win during that period was Federer, seeded 17th, in 2017. Curiously, players seeded 5,7,9,11,12,13,14,15 have not won the tournament since 1990. Most of these are in the top half of the draw.

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